Author Archive

07 Apr 2012

Know When to Hold’em

No Comments Thoughts

A two part article on knowing when to walk away.  Part Two: “Know When To Fold’em” will be online on Friday, April 13th.

A PERSONAL STORY: The Never Ending Session

It was Sunday afternoon when I finally quit. Sixty eight hours ago, when I started playing, I never dreamed that I could win more than a thousand dollars in a single session. I also never thought it was possible to feel that tired, exhausted to the point of delusion. I simply could not continue. When I walked out of the poker room, I looked back at the table. They were still playing.

What I was attempting is impossible. I had tried to beat a game which cannot be beaten. I learned something that day.

You can win money at poker, but you can’t beat poker.

Winning means to leave with more money than you started with. Beating the game implies that you are going to somehow outlast it.

Where poker differs from a video game is that there is no ending, no conclusion. It is constant, eternal. The next morning, when I went back, there were new faces, but the game was still there.

 

THE PROBLEM: Knowing When to Quit

Is it when you’re up, down, tired, that the game breaks or when the fish leaves, or never? Depending on the circumstances, the answer can be any of the above. Tommy Angelo, author of the excellent book “The Element of Poker,” says it best: “Walking away is easy. The hard part is standing up.”

 

THE REASON: We Love to Gamble and Hate to Lose

Nearly every time I quit, I still want to keep playing. Let’s face it, we love to gamble. The reason quitting is so tough is because we have to accept that you cannot do it anymore. This is particularly difficult while losing, as it means accepting the loss, or worse, defeat. The ego is damaged and will do anything to avoid the temporary pain, even if it costs us more money.

THE OPTIONS

1) WHEN WINNING: I often quit when I’m winning, but sometimes I quit specifically because I am. If the money I am risking is more than what I want to lose, I’ll rack up. If a sudden loss significantly affects my mood, and possibly even forces me to play bad tomorrow, I will call it a night. In my article, “How to Get Over Massive Losses,” I talk about “Win Cap,” which is opposite of a stop loss. It’s a preset limit which, if hit, means it’s time to quit.

2) WHEN LOSING
This is the one we struggle with the most. The urge to get unstuck, particularly in a juicy game, can keep us there for hours, even days. Unfortunately, this is also where the wheels come off and we dig ourselves into a deep hole.

Our stop loss should constantly be adjusted to whatever amount we can lose without caring about the money.

Once we pass this threshold, derailing begins. Let’s assume we know that point to be exactly when we are stuck three buy ins. In a $10/$20 NL game, where the buy in is $5000, we would be stuck at least $15,000.

2.1 Stop Loss

In this scenario, the case for quitting solely because we are losing deserves more credence than when we are ahead. After we pass our threshold for pain, it becomes hard to discern whether the loss is from poor play or bad luck. More specifically, it becomes difficult to be disciplined enough to play well in the small pots. And if we’re not careful, they can add up quick.

It doesn’t stop there. Sometimes, when I’m buried, I go into auto pilot and my play becomes very predictable. I often tell myself, “okay it’s time to play tight so I don’t lose more.” While in this state, it’s not that I’m necessarily misplaying my big hands, but I am passing on profitable opportunities to steal pots, and exchanging aggression for passivity due of fear. Remember, our win rate doesn’t only come on our edge rate vs. fish, but in the difference between our expectation against other regulars. The bigger we play, the smaller the margins are. Only a slight deviation from our A game can be the difference in a winner or loser.

2.2 Becoming Jaded

My hypothesis is simple: losing leads to worse play. Worse play costs us money. Thus, losing is the often the most important time to enforce strict discipline.

Skeptics consider this: It may not make us play worse, but is it safe to say it doesn’t make us play better?

Another reason for quitting while losing is when our perception of money is such that we force the action to get unstuck. The small pots begin to lose significance and those simple mistakes (whether or not to continuation bet, for example) are going to cost tons of money. In the big pots, we become more likely to gamble in a marginal situation. The moment we feel it, it’s time rack it up. To illustrate why, let’s explore the two possible outcomes of this scenario:

 

2.2.I Outcome 1: I take a bad gamble and win! Now, instead of being stuck $15,000 I’ve reduced the loss to $10,000. I’m slightly happier than being stuck $15,000, but am still having a bad day. I’m unlikely to completely return to my A game (once it’s gone, it rarely comes back), although the win will calm me down enough to cruise at my B game, a significant increase from the C game I was playing earlier.

Whether I play long enough to recover on the day, is neither here nor there. We should view our entire poker career as one session and evaluate each decision to quit independently.

 

2.2.II Outcome 2: We gamble and lose. Now we’re stuck $20,000 and we completely derail.

If we rebuy, it’s going to be bad. We know we should stop immediately after busting, but that only happens if we are practicing good discipline, which we aren’t. Stuck $20,000, how can we focus on whether or not to call a $60 raise pre flop. We bleed off chips for twenty minutes, trying to get it back before we calm down enough to quit. Now we’re stuck $21,700, nearly another 100 big blinds. In that moment it seems easy to do. The worst part, what we

would normal consider a good days work (80 big blinds), has just been lost in the span of a few orbits. Brutal.

Time to run the numbers. Let’s say the professional plays 250 sessions per year. He expects to lose 3 buy ins only a fraction of the time, perhaps 30 of those sessions. Of those times, he lose an average of $1000 (50 bbs) that he wouldn’t have lost had he quit earlier.

At the end of the year, that’s $30,000. In a nice high rise condo in Las Vegas, that’s his rent for the entire year.
Remember, not losing is the same as winning.

On Friday, April 13th we’ll wrap up the piece with more talk of quitting, some perspective and the most important factor in deciding when to walk away.

02 Apr 2012

Counting Every Moment

1 Comment Thoughts

 

A PERSONAL STORY: Counting Every Moment
The “Economist” just released an article titled Counting Every Moment in which people tabulate various activities in their lives.

Coincidentally, I began doing this last year to keep track of my habits. How many books I read, how many movies I watched, how much alcohol I drank, how many times I worked out, etc.
Aside from learning the facts, what I noticed was the simple act of recording made me more conscious about the activities I do. If I had a drink, I had to mark it down. I couldn’t lie to myself. My iPhone notepad was constantly hovering over me.

The result? The things I wanted to eliminate: drinking alcohol and watching TV, were reduced immensely. Likewise, activities I tried to improve: working out, reading, writing, were done more frequently.

The process is awesome. Whenever I develop a new habit I want to break, playing video games for instance, I just write it down and watch it disappear.

 

THE PROBLEM: Delusion
For years I had been delusional about many aspects of my life. Now, after just three months, I realized certain things are much more destructive than I thought. For example, this year I’ve already eaten out 57 times. At least I know where my money goes.

In his recent post, Sorel Mizzi talks about the dangers of being a delusional poker player. It’s with much regret that I just applied this strategy to my poker game. “What is my biggest leak?” I wondered.
The answer I found is:
1) I play too many hands
2) I play when I shouldn’t
Now I should know how to fix my bad habits.

 

THE SOLUTION: Accountability

The reason we let ourselves derail is that nobody is there to hold us accountable. The value in having a personal trainer is that you have someone who forces you to go the gym. Tabulating is my portable trainer.

Even after a short sample of 300 hands, the evidence confirmed my suspicion: I was playing way to loose to beat a tough 9 handed poker game. The embarrassment of realizing I play 30% of my hands inspired me to change.At the table, I wrote down how many hands I played, keeping track of four stats: limping, calling, raising, and reraising.

Next, I set an optimal goal, 20%. In order to reach it, I looked at a spreadsheet to see what hands fit in my acceptable playing range. I continue to tally to constantly adjust my optimal playing strategy.

The second problem, playing when I shouldn’t, is a bit tougher to quantify. To start, I asked myself a few questions and listed the answers:

When do I play well?
i. When I’m rested
ii. When I eat healthy
iii. When I workout
iv. When I don’t feel like I have anything else to do
v. When I’m comfortable with the money
vi. When I’m winning

When do I play poorly?
i. When I’m tired
ii. When I don’t workout
iii. When I’m stressed
iv. When I’m losing
v. If the game is too big
vi. When my mind is                                                                              elsewhere

It’s no surprise that the two are exact mirrors of each other. After this exercise I made a rule. If any two of these conditions are met, I don’t play. No exceptions. I am willing to forgo some potential EV in order to lower variance and keep a healthy mental state. I had to remind myself, while gambling may be about maximizing expectation, life is about maximizing happiness.

Because the circumstances of a game change frequently, and it’s hard to be objective while playing, every hour I pull out the notes and recheck the list. I don’t have to wait until I’m stuck and tired to quit. The symptoms always precede the illness. 

Sometimes, just knowing the information is not enough. For further accountability, I show this exercise to a friend. The ridicule of my well respected peers, particularly those whom I strive to impress, compels me to play my best.

To win we don’t always have to the best at playing poker, but rather the best poker player. Rafael Nadal, by his own admission, has less talent than Roger Federer. But, through hard work, perseverance and mental control, he has been able to overcome the gap in talent. In poker there are too many gifted players who are broke. Like tennis, it’s not about who does the most great plays, but who makes the least mistakes.

30 Mar 2012

The Game of the Future

1 Comment Thoughts

As discussed in Part 1, poker needs to be rebranded. But dressing well is just the beginning. In order to effectively implement change, we are going to need help from the rest of the world.

The Problem: The Stereotype

1) More on Perception

First impressions are huge. The reason poker players are perceived as degenerate gamblers is we act like it. We show up to televised events and make our statement to the world by saying, “I’m too lazy to shave or dress up.” Just because we can stroll into the Bellagio in sweats doesn’t mean we should. Nowhere else in the Casino do people dress like they are homeless. It’s not professional and it’s not classy.

Behaving in public means treating yourself like a famous athlete, an ambassador for our sport. Kobe Bryant and Roger Federer don’t walk around town acting like children, because it’s bad for their image, sponsors and industry as a whole.

Why are NBA players, some of whom come from the hood, considered respectable? Because when the athletes are doing an interview, injured, even suspended, they show up court side in a suit and tie. And who sponsors them? Legendary companies like Nike, Coca-Cola and American Express.
Who sponsors us, a Beef Jerky brand? Why isn’t Phil Ivey holding a Redbull container and saying “I drink this to help me focus?”

2) The Media

The media in poker is ruining poker’s reputation. Sadly, most outlets believe that people care more about failure than success, but this is the very gossip that portrays poker in a negative light. Reading that someone is broke and in debt makes for much better conversation than Phil Galfond winning another $1,000,000.

Let’s pretend that Rolex is actually considering investing in poker. The first thing the VP of marketing will do is google “news in poker” to see the relevant events. When the first thing they read about is “scum bags and cheaters,” it’s game over.

Personal affairs are personal. Take Tiger Woods or Michael Phelps. Does it really help their sport to know about unrelated events in their life, or does it destroy our role models at the expense of the media making a profit?

3) Beyond the Felt

We call for change in Washington. But politicians are at the mercy of the public.

Just like legalizing marijuana and gay marriage, nobody wants to risk their political career by being the one who says “yes” to change. And given the negative spin on poker, can you blame them for not standing up on behalf of gamblers?

 

THE SOLUTION: Batman

1) The Steps to Change

There is always hope. The fact remains, there are billions to be made in gambling.

If the perception were transformed in the public eye, the people wouldn’t begrudge, and the politicians could effectively implement change.

But we must follow the Ladder of Change. At the top is the desired result: change. Below are the steps to get there.

 

2) Poker Needs More Heroes

The stories that inspire change are the ones of triumph. Kurt Warner going from bagging groceries to Super Bowl MVP is much more profound than Ben Roethlisberger being accused of rape. Both draw equal attention. One shapes the lives and future of our youth. The other destroys it.

The media outlets, ESPN in particular needs to give the American viewers a Batman, someone to root for. Looking at our industry, who is our Roger Federer, our Michael Jordan?

In poker, it’s hard to measure skill which means he doesn’t always have to be the best player, but more, the best ambassador. Luckily, a few people have both: Phil Galfond and Matt Glantz. They’re genuine, beloved, well spoken and want what’s best for poker.

3) Bring on the Rivalry 

The anticipation in sports creates interest. Hoping the Lakers will play the Celtics, or that Rafael Nadal will meet Roger Federer in the finals creates a rooting interest for the fans. In poker, we have no rivals!

It doesn’t mean we have to talk trash, Nadal and Federer are friends, but rather create an environment when the audience has something to look forward to.

The Islidur vs. Haxton challenge is great start. The difficulty lies in making it popular for the masses.

 

4) The Past is Not the Way

Players should showcase personalities during interviews post tournament. In order for the audience to develop an interest, we need them to fall in love with the players themselves.

Rafael Nadal didn’t use to be able to speak English, but through years of practice, his fluency has allowed him to make  appearances and holds press conferences. Because of this, he has evolved from a Spanish hero to an international superstar.

Poker is currently an individual sport and a cutthroat industry where everyone is out for themselves. Compared to more regulated sports where the players have an interest in making things happen collectively because they read the benefits. Many don’t see the value in making these sacrifices now, but we must ask what came first, the chicken or the egg? In order to attract the sponsors, we need to think long term and do what’s best for the industry.

To shift the general view, we need to do more than win tournaments. For the view of marijuana to become accepted, it was featured in movies and successful people were smoking it.

In poker, we have Ivy League geniuses who play the game: Brian Rast, Isaac Haxton, Scott Seiver, Jason Strasser, Vanessa Selbst, and countless others. If some of brightest and most capable people in the world are doing it, then maybe there’s a reason. All of us, especially those with influence, need to be more vocal in portraying the positive side of poker.
5) The Dream

How cool would it be to have a press room at the WSOP where fans could ask questions to their favorite players?

Where the media focused its attention on the lives of successful players who have come from nothing to make their fortune in poker.

I believe in a world where I see a Gatorade commercial with a poker player who says, “I drink this to stay hydrated at the table.”
Where schools use poker as a tool to teach children the fundamentals of math, expectation and game theory.

Where players participated in press conferences for ESPN and profile pieces are done so the viewing public can learn more about the intricacies of professional gamblers.

 

Where our heroes gave talks on what it means to be a poker player and what these experiences have taught them.
We say we want the rest of the world to take us seriously. It’s time we show them we are.

“Don’t give them what they expect. Give them what they never dreamed was possible.

26 Mar 2012

The Public Perception: A Call for Change

7 Comments Thoughts

Disclaimer: The only reason I’m qualified to speak on these issues is I’ve made every mistake listed here. Please, don’t remind me. I continue to make them and if you catch one, I hope you’ll remind me.

A PERSONAL STORY: The College Dropout
I was 18 when I broke the news to my parents. “I’m dropping out of SMU to play poker.” Needless to say, they weren’t thrilled. In my defense, I tried to explain that it wasn’t gambling, but calculated risk. I was no different than the stock trader.
It was a hard sell. “Stock traders have degrees” they reminded me. The problem, it seemed was the barriers to entry. To get to Wall Street, you need to go through the system. To gamble all you need is cash. Fail on Wall Street and you still get a modest salary, fail in poker and you can wind up in debt.
All things considered, one can’t blame them. They had nothing that convinced them otherwise.

Poker was just beginning to emerge in the media, but what they did see wasn’t exactly flattering: overweight gamblers dressed like bums cursing obscenities at their misfortune.
Overcoming these hurdles is an uphill battle, but it doesn’t have to be. We brought the burden upon ourselves.

THE PROBLEM: The Public’s Perception
The problem isn’t that the majority of those who try fail. I didn’t succeed in my childhood dream of making the NBA, yet my parents encouraged me to play basketball, because in doing so I learned the merits of teamwork, discipline, patience and perseverance.

There are virtues to be learned from poker. It’s time we showcase them, but first, an exercise. After each word close your eyes and imagine what you see.

Stock Trader:
I suppose it’s something like this: A 24 year old, ivy league graduate (I always envision Harvard), freshly shaven, clean cut, black suit with a red tie, carrying a briefcase with something important inside.

He’s almost definitely talking on the phone with a client during his lunch break, where he has delivery Chinese food from his office on Wall Street.

Let’s try one more.

Poker Player:
Here’s what comes to mind. A 24 year old college dropout struggles to stay awake after an all night poker session. With no attachment to the real world, he strolls through the otherwise elegant Bellagio in sweats and a hoodie, unshaven and scruffy.

What’s really the difference? More specifically, why, when their jobs are close relatives, is the stock trader a respected businessman when the poker player is a degenerate gambler?

Sure, the formers Harvard education doesn’t hurt, but when was the last time someone ask where you graduated? The difference between “us” and “them” begins with that image we create. The trouble is that the parent says, “no to gambling” and “yes to Wall Street.” In order to change the status quo, poker needs to be rebranded.

The Green Tea Example
In spring 2000, Twinings stated: “In response to a huge surge of consumer interest and demand, and after many months of extensive product development, we are pleased to announce the launch of a contemporary new range of green teas.”
So why the crazy for green tea? Lipton says that it is due to “worldwide consumer trends in health and stress awareness, and the desire for a more balanced lifestyle.”

Further, Whittard of Chelsea, who offer six varieties of green teas, tells customers that “green tea is the most natural of all teas, and still contains many of the natural ‘compounds’ which make tea such a healthy drink.”

Green tea has been drank for thousands of years by the Orient. But only when it was marketed as an appetite suppressant and weight loss solution did it boom in America. The problem isn’t the game, but how it’s viewed by the public.

THE SOLUTION: It Starts With Us

1) At the Table
The professional sets the precedent for the rest of the world. I love playing tennis and when I want to feel like a rock star on the court, I deck myself out in all Nike, with head and wrist bands. The game is as much about the look as playing. Thus when we show up in sweats, others think it’s okay, even aspirational.

Outfit:
“You can tell just by looking at him,” was a quote from the poker table just two days ago. It was said of a VIP who walked in to play the big game. If we did the same exercise as above and envisioned a “poker fish” it would look drastically different than the poker pro. This is the problem.

Remember, our job is to create a suitable environment for our customers.

When was the last time the mega fish in the game was wearing a jersey and backwards hat? People don’t mind playing with professionals, they just don’t want to feel like you are there to take their money.

Not only is dressing nice a step to legitimizing our industry, but it will make others want to play with you. You’re no longer the bum hunting pro, you’re a rich kid who’s ready to gamble. And there’s a huge difference.

I will lead by example and here’s my pledge to you. If anyone sees me dressed below business casual for over 1 hour (sometimes, it’s inexcusable, when I stumble upon a game. Still, I will home to change after taking my seat), I will pay them a big blind. Limit one per session.

Headphones:
They aren’t ideal but sometimes they are almost too convenient. Even though the use of paper towels kills trees, one can’t really fault someone for buying them. However, there’s a big difference between obnoxious Bose headphones and the inconspicuous iPod ones.
On TV, never. In certain cash games, they shouldn’t be used because it creates a dynamic that’s serious when the game calls for entertainment.

Dressing nice is just the beginning. In order to effectively make a difference, it’s going to take more than just a collared shirt. We need help from the media. On Friday, March 30th is Part 2, the steps toward change.

23 Mar 2012

No Game For Robots

5 Comments Thoughts

Owais Ahmed, who, after a successful year, has lost all motivation for playing poker,  wrote: “Its like I’ve hit the ceiling – all I can accomplish at a poker table is doing more of what I’ve already done. Looking forward to a future where I should grind cash daily or a few nights a week doesn’t seem that fun. When is enough enough?”

A PERSONAL STORY: A Grande Vanilla Latte

On a hot summer morning in Laguna Beach, California I stopped to relax at Laguna Beach Coffee. I love the sensation of caffeine on an empty stomach and basking in the Orange County sun. There I could get both for $2.

The cute Polish barista who knows my drink order of choice, a grande iced vanilla latte, wasn’t working that day. In her place was Bridget, another equally inviting woman with shoulder length blonde hair and bright green eyes. She chirped loudly enough that the shop could hear.

“How can I help you?” she rhymed, carrying on. Before I could answer she interrupted: “How about this: I’ll surprise you. If you don’t like it I’ll make you another one,” she reassured me.

When I took a sip of the concoction, a cold refreshing mixture of coffee, chocolate and raspberry took me to heaven. “How did you make this?” I asked. “It’s my secret,” she whispered. “Sometimes, when I get bored at work, I just experiment, you know?

THE SITUATION: Becoming Frustrated With Work

What troubles Owasis is that playing poker has shifted from being a passion to a full time job.  Once, the idea of sitting in a casino was a glamorized goal, an abstract dream. Now, a mundane reality.In a recent conversation with Michael Kaplin, a friend and freelance journalist, we caught up about our past few months. I told him of my life post Black Friday and shift to live poker. “It’s different man. I’ve been on the road lately. Traveling around trying to find games.”

His turn: “It doesn’t sound so bad, I’d love to be able to see a few places and play more poker. I’m just working on a new restaurant review. They want me to fly to Vegas for the weekend to try it. “It sounds like a dream,” I told him, “I’d love nothing more than to be paid to travel and write”.

We both laughed and said simultaneously: “I guess the grass is always greener.”

THE PROBLEM: Routines Create Boredom

Owasis confesses “I used to dream of playing a 15 hour session. Now the same thought feels like a prison sentence.”

The problem isn’t that poker became boring, but Owasis became bored of the game.If we do the same thing every day, we are going to get used to it. The challenge then, isn’t to avoid the inevitable, but how to spice things up.

We are beings of routines. They help us in almost every facet of our lives: they increase Productivity makes us more responsible and adds structure to the day helping to get things done. The difficulty lies in not becoming slaves to them.

 

THE SOLUTION: Creativity

What sets Bridget apart in her job is that she enjoys her work. Her secret? She got creative. Instead of making a mundane black coffee, she sold customers on eclectic inventions.

When learning stops, boredom beings.

In poker this means our decisions become robotic.

Instead of thinking  ”I’m supposed to bet the flop, because betting the flop is “standard, ask yourself “why?” By definition doesn’t standard mean that your opponents are expecting it? And if so, could there be merit in doing the opposite?

It’s easy to get creative in a game where no two hands are the same.

Recently, I’ve experimented flat calling with big hands in multi way pots. My thought is: “everyone else raises so I’m going to call.” I’ve found that people don’t give me credit and it throws them off guard.

More, I’m constantly challenging myself by being in new spots that force me to think about the game in ways I never thought possible.

 

FIND THE MODEL:

Find someone in your line of work that just can’t get enough of it. Take them to dinner and get inspired. What is it about the way they approach the job that makes it so exciting?

I’ve spent as much time as possible over the last month with my good friend Michael “Play2Kill” Touritz, a witty, sharp poker player who has an unparalleled passion for the game. It’s no surprise that he’s always one of the most successful at the table. Undoubtedly, the reason is his ideal day consists of 10 hours playing poker.


I was fortunate to watch him play for several hours. It’s not just that he expanded my knowledge of the game, but he challenged what I thought to be true: “If people only call raises with hands that show a profit against you, then why raise in the first place?” Through these simple diversions, poker can become a new game.

PERSPECTIVE:

I was complaining to my friend about having to play poker when she stopped me, raising her finger. “You don’t have to play,” she corrected me. “You want to play.” Depending on how we approach them, the same two activities can be either painful or pleasurable. “I have to work out today to because I’m fat” and “I’m going to enjoy a swim” both lead to the same result, yet they reveal a very different attitude.

A quick fix: list 10 things about your job that you are grateful for, read it when you get up, and take them to work with you.

Here are my records: Flexibility, entertainment, universality, lucrativeness, challenging, stimulation, ability to influence others, possibility to travel, socialize with interesting people, and it’s kinda badass. The list is growing and constantly changing.

 

HAVE A FOCUS:

Another exercise I found helpful is called “The Week Leak.” Each week I pick one aspect of my job I want to improve. It can be anything. This week my poker goal is to “clear my mind before each decision.” For my practice, I’m going to make a deep breath and contract my stomach before every action.

Having a focus gives me a purpose for playing. My job has gone from arbitrary to centered because I have a direction and I keep in mind that making money isn’t my job, it’s merely the product of doing it well.

Those who climb the pyramid of success reach the top because of the second level, they are skilled. They are good because of the middle layer, hard work. They work hard because most importantly, they never forget the base, the structure and foundation of everything that rests above it. Passion.

The reason I enjoy what I do so much is because I love the game itself and I love playing. Keep that love alive and the rest will follow.

The grass is plenty green everywhere. It’s right there on our front lawn. Our job is not to step on it.

18 Mar 2012

PART TWO: The Mental Solution: Shifting Perspective

4 Comments Thoughts

As discussed in Part 1, Physical solutions may help after a disastrous losing session. But what about a long term downswing? A losing month, terrible World Series, or, in the extreme case of “Saxophone,” going broke? For this, a shift in mental perspective is required.

DAMAGE CONTROL

1) Count the Loss:

I often put off tallying losses because accepting the reality is too much to bear. But the sooner I do it, the sooner I can come to terms with the fact that it’s real. After I physically write the number down, I allow myself time to lament. Sometimes I go even further and torture myself by calculating how my financial situation would have been different if I hadn’t taken that bad beat.

2) Acceptance:

It is the hardest part. I continue my agony by comparing my two numbers side by side (my current financial situation and the “could have been” one).

Then, I think long and hard about my life outside of poker. What activities do I enjoy? I actually list them: writing, exercise, cooking, yoga, friends, reading and nature.

I take time to appreciate what they have in common: they are all free. I realize deeply that everything I need to be happy is within my grasp and my life would be no different with the additional money.

This realization is the moment of epiphany when things start to turn around.

3) Recovery

In this phase, I begin doing my list of activities, even if it means forcing myself to go through the motions. It is common for a simple task to seem overwhelming, like it is for a depressed patient to get out of bed. To make things easier, the night before I make a schedule. Again, I write it out. I set myself up for success by starting the day with something simple: 5 minutes of stretching or 20 deep breaths, and gradually toward more challenging activities. Regardless of time and place, I set an alarm for 7 am and get moving.

I take time for introspective moments of gratitude. I kick off each day with a simple practice. I set a timer for 2 minutes and list as many things I can think I’m thankful for.

The more trivial the better. Raw almonds, my juicer, The New Yorker, Omar Little. It doesn’t matter, just get it out.

As Oscar Wilde said, we should delight in even the extremest moments of pain, because they are, in fact, extraordinary.

MAINTAINING A POSITIVE OUTLOOK

The Problem:

What affected “Saxophone” was not that he lost his $500,000 bankroll, but his idea of what that money means. In the thread on 2p2, he admitted the money had no specific value to him. His biggest concern seemed that he could no longer compete at the games highest levels. Understood. Going broke is the poker equivalent of a serious injury for a sports star. Depending on how fast one can recover, he may be out a week, year or a lifetime.

While not being able to immediately play the biggest games is frustrating, it’s no cause for depression. What’s difficult to comprehend is the sheer amount of money lost. Even a year later, he admits being overwhelmed.

Here’s why: Money has no purpose. There’s no clear reason one needs the dough, other than they want it. (In actuality,”Saxophone” doesn’t need the cash). With no void to replace the number that’s burdening him, the pain continues so long as he cannot recover the arbitrary number, because currently, that’s how his success is measured.

Consider this: Is it possible to conceive he would be less unhappy if the number he lost was $300,000? What if he began with $10,000,000 and lost $9,500,000? He would still have the $500,000 he laments losing, but I believe he would feel an equivalent sense of loss. The problem then is not in the figure, but his idea of it.

The Solution:

Give your chosen non poker activities meaning by making goals and working towards them.

I recommend using Tim FerrissDreamlines and his Monthly Expense Calendar. Ferriss’ best-selling book: Four Hour Work Week covers, in detail, how to create your ideal lifestyle and the steps to cultivate and calculate it.

I’ve done this successfully for years and never once has my annual Dreamline exceeded $100,000. Please note: I’m high maintenance and my girlfriend calls me “Little Prince.”

Once we realize that the money we need to do what we want is far less than we think, it’s easier to accept the loss. Contentment comes the moment we appreciate the fact that we’re no happier with $100,000 or $10,000,000.

Lasting Happiness:

There are two types of goals: extrinsic and intrinsic. Extrinsic ones involve material, status and fame, while Intrinsic goals involve personal growth, relationships and experiences. I cannot stress how much more rewarding intrinsic goals have been in my life. Learning Italian, backpacking through New Zealand and playing piano crush owning a new wardrobe, more twitter followers and a bigger bankroll.

Happiness should be our religion and the basis on which we make our decisions. Fortunately, since it is a mental state of being, it is also a skill we can develop. Practicing Happiness should be embedded into our daily lives. Gratitude, kindness and modest expectations should be applied to not set ourselves up for disappointment. As little as five minutes a day can make all the difference.

Contentment is not a mysterious place at the end of the rainbow. It exists here and now. Most of all, when choosing an industry where money is the standard way to measure success, we must remember, the goal is not to be rich, but to be happy.

Be happy for this moments. This moments is your life.” – Omar Khayyam

15 Mar 2012

How To Get Over Massive Losses

8 Comments Thoughts

A Two Part series on recovering from downswings, shifting perspective, maintaining a positive outlook and general happiness, in response to “Saxophone,” on 2p2, who is struggling to recover from losing a $500,000 bankroll.

Preface: A PERSONAL STORY

Walking through the Bellagio, I see a large crowd gathering around a bunch of screaming people. I stop to see the cause of the commotion. “What’s going on?” I ask a man huddled at the back.

Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce are playing blackjack.” I nudge my way to the front. The group erupts, hands flailing into the air. In the process, a drunk man nearly spills his beer on my head. They must have won a fortune.

When their hands came into view the first thing I noticed wasn’t their bets, but Kevin’s watch. Massive, embedded with diamonds, it shined even on the dimly lit casino floor. My eyes followed his wrist down his hand and then his fingers. It can’t be. I squinted to make sure, but the two neatly staked red chips were unmistakable. They were betting $10 per hand.

 

The Reason: STIMULATION

Even though they were barely playing, the excitement created a lot of fuss. On the other hand, a high stakes poker player with a fraction of the net worth can win three zeros more then them without flinching. How is this possible? When we gamble our minds develop a tolerance to the stimulation, no different than the alcoholic who can put back 10 shots. Excessive becomes normal.

There’s only so much fluctuation we can handle before the money becomes real. Once we pass this threshold, emotions return.

When we win, joy and euphoria. When we lose, pain and panic. The losses are always worse than the wins. They are so detrimental to our state of being that I refer to the tipping point for pain as the “PT,” pain threshold. PT’s vary depending on frequency of play. For two athletes who rarely risk money, the least amount of volatility is exciting.

 

The Problem: COMPULSION

If one chooses to gamble, crossing the PT is unavoidable. It can be avoided by implementing stop losses before they are reached or taking breaks after significant losing streaks. Nevertheless, while these tips are good in practice, they don’t always work.

First we have to cross them to know where they are. And also a big game with a lucrative spot is often too irresistible for even the most conservative poker player to turn down. Let’s face it, we like to gamble. The real problem, then, is how do we recover when the inevitable happens?

 

The Physical Solution: TAKING ACTION

The life of a poker player desensitizes one to money. Personally, this is a constant battle because I’m nowhere near rich enough to justify such an indifferent mindset. The biggest hand I’ve lost is $475,000. The biggest downswing I’ve had is $1,000,000. Following both, I experienced a sense of loss, despair and a void, similar to the pain of a bitter sweet breakup. In my experience the best way to recover from such a traumatic experience is to compartmentalize the two distant realities: poker and life.

I know that my PT is the most I can lose without losing perspective. Win cap, “WC” is the opposite. When either of these lines are crossed, I take a day off to do something explorative, creative and new. Something as simple as trying a different restaurant, walking through a unseen part of town, or exercising can make the difference between a successful reset or a stressful morning. For further therapy, I make a small reward or recovery purchase. This reinforces the truth that the money I make in the poker world has value in the real world and motivates me to play better.

Sometimes I don’t have the liberty of a day off. A lucrative cash game compels me to grind or even more imminent, I cross my PT during a session and want to continue playing. The quickest way to refocus is a bit disturbing, even blasphemous, but it works. I rip up money.

That’s right. I walk away from the table, take out a $1 bill, tear it to pieces and throw it away. If you just cringed, that’s good. It’s intended to be painful and remind us that our distress is not because of the money, but that the brain is addicted to the stimulation.

In order to recreate this spark, we need more fuel and higher levels of fluctuation. This petty $1 sacrifice save thousands at the table.

Lastly, we must remember the thing that trumps all: Happiness. When debating whether or not to play poker, we shouldn’t make our decisions based on EV (expected value) in dollars, but on how it will affect us mentally, hEV (happiness expected value).

Physical recovery is important in the short term: losing sessions and bad days. But in the long term, for losing months and busted bankrolls, a mental shift is required.

Check back Monday, March 18th for Part Two where I’ll cover mental state, balance and happiness.

 

10 Mar 2012

The Role of Luck in Poker

2 Comments Thoughts

My thoughts on cash games and tournaments. A personal story. The sequal to Filtering the Noise: Cash Games or Tournaments?

MY TAKE:

Tournaments by nature are a more simple form of poker. The short span at which they are deep stacked (several hours of play) is quickly over and soon the play becomes rather rudimentary.

It’s not to say there isn’t skill or that experienced tournament players aren’t better at picking off spots, but the margins are much smaller and a lifetime of playing is not enough to realize one’s true expectation.

It is often said that few can make the transition or be successful at both tournaments and cash games. That’s only half true. The fact is, few tournament players can win at high stakes cash games, whereas all high stakes cash game players can win at tournaments (not all rectangles are squares, but all squares are rectangles).

The Reasons:

The primary reason better players choose cash games is obvious. There is more money. Others are more obscure.

Many poker players prefer to remain anonymous. Being labeled as a professional hinders ones ability to play in the amazing games where politics are involved. Who wants to play with someone who always wins?

Some avoid tournaments because for tax purposes. Sweden for example, home of some of the world’s best poker players, enforces a usurious 50% tax rate on tournament winnings. Combined with the rising cost of travel and accommodation, it’s extremely diffuclut for the tournament poker player to show a long term profit.

The Difference:

Cash games are tougher because the players sit with more money relative to the blinds. The deeper the stacks, the tougher the decisions. This means there is more room for play and more decisions are made on the river.

River decisions are where the tough players exploit opponents the most because you always either have 100% or 0% chance of winning. If you make a mistake, by folding the best hand when the pot is $10,000, it adds up quick. Translation: Far less variance and far less luck.

Tournaments Explained:

Although they may be skilled, when tournament superstars win consistently, they are always benefactors of what Nassim Taleb calls the “professional coin flipper.”

If someone enters a coin flipping contest with 10,000 people, eventually there will be one winner.

Surely that man would go on to write a book about how to beat your opponents at flipping coins.

But would one really infer that this man is better than you or I?

This may be a bit dramatic, because it implies the analogy that a tournament, like coin flipping, requires no skill. While this isn’t true, the amount that exists is not enough to warrant many of the results.

 

MY EXPERIENCE:

I’ve been fortunate to have a promising tournament record. With that, I’ve received some exposure, sponsors and perhaps undeserved credibility within my industry. As much as I chide some of the aspects of tournaments, there is a ton I’ve gained from my experience in them. For that I am grateful.

The 16 year old in me still dreams of final tabling a major televised event. It’s a sensation that will never get old.  Each year as the WSOP approaches, I vow to focus more on cash because that’s how I earn my living. But, when I get up in the morning and hear that the $5,000 event has 1,400 players offering a first prize of $1,000,000, sometimes, I can’t help myself…. I’m compelled to play.

05 Mar 2012

Filtering the Noise: Cash Games or Tournaments?

2 Comments Thoughts

 

Within the poker community there is a longstanding rival between tournament grinders and cash game players. Here are some of the differences, pros and cons:TOURNAMENT PROS:

Fame: The only way to receive sponsorships and make a name for yourself is by competing in tournaments. The American public doesn’t care about the biggest winner at the Bellagio.

Fortune: Tournaments are the poker equivalent of playing the lottery. If you win, the payout can be life changing.

Competition: In a tournament, there is actually a winner. Their success is measurable. “I got first place” is much more gratifying than “I won the most at the table.”

Travel: For the lucky few who play the tour, it’s a great way to see the world. What’s more, players can choose their destinations, making for an appealing lifestyle.

TOURNAMENT CONS:

Variance: In a given year, a serious pro might play 100 live events. If they average a buy in of $5,000, that’s a $500,000 bankroll for a year’s worth of play. With the volatility of tournaments, one can easily go 30 in a row without cashing and a full year without making a final table. Withstanding this variance requires a ton of capital.

Rake: Many tournament players don’t consider the rake for traveling the circuit. The European Poker Tour (EPT) Grand Final, for example, is held in Monaco. A hotel room at the Monte Carlo Bay costs $600 per night and a round trip flight from LA is roughly $2,000. The best players in the world assume they have an ROI of 100% (meaning, for every dollar they pay to enter, they expect to earn a dollar in return). If they spend 10 days in Monaco, that’s $8,000 for hotel and flight alone. You do the math.

Happiness: Tournaments are mentally draining. One is never satisfied unless they win. Because you are competing, the results are measured not by dollars, but by place. Even when I got second place in the WSOP, I was heartbroken from getting so close to winning letting the title slip. The life of a tournament grinder is one of constant anguish.

 

CASH GAME PROS:

Flexibility: As a cash game player, I am completely free to make my own schedule. I have no travel, date and time restrictions. The price of freedom is arguably the most lucrative draw to being a pro.

Money: The constant money is in the cash games. Tournaments are deceptively appealing. Sure one can make a million dollars in a few days, but in the long run the math says otherwise. Choosing to play cash means a higher probability of showing a profit.

Sustainability: It’s easier to make a living playing cash games because they run more frequently. For the $5/$10 NL player in Vegas, he can find a game nearly 24 hours a day. Even if he is a small winner, he can earn $50 an hour. Not bad for playing a game.

CASH GAME CONS:

Difficulty: There is one overwhelming downside to playing cash games: they are difficult. As you progress through the levels, the edges get smaller and the games get tougher. Contrary to common belief, the best players in the world don’t fly to Vegas to play the $10,000 tournaments, but the $100,000 buy in cash games.

The reason is simple. That’s where the money is. When you’re stuck at a table with five elite players who aren’t afraid to risk it all on a bluff, you’re always put to the test. With less room for luck, the better players are going to win a lot quicker and more often. It’s a cut throat business and it’s not long before you sink or learn to swim.

Losing: In a tournament, the most you can lose is your entry fee. In the bigger cash games the numbers can be astounding, often nearly the size of first place in a single hand. It takes a certain breed to be able to cope with that sort of loss. Also, the ability to remove yourself from the utility of money is absolutely imperative to one’s success.

 

YOUR OPINION COUNTS!

Do you prefer tournaments or cash games? Why?

 

02 Mar 2012

How to Treat Your Customers

3 Comments Thoughts

How Casinos Treat VIPs:

Chauffeur them to their hotel
Pay for their flights
Treat them to expensive meals
Give them “rake back” with free show tickets
Make them feel important
Appreciate their playing with lavish comps

How Poker Players Treat VIP’s:

Berate them when they play bad
Correct their mistakes
Make them feel stupid
Treat them like an object (ATM machine), instead of a human (successful and interesting)
Scorn when they win
Make them feel like targets by quitting the game when they leave

Here’s an example:

A fish quits when the game becomes three handed. I later find out that he felt uncomfortable because we were speaking in English, a language he didn’t understand. It must have been easy from our body language that we were on friendly terms. He didn’t necessarily suspect us of colluding, but likely felt like we were there to take his money. Can you really blame him for quitting?

The poker player should always treat his customers, as a Casino would. Their only goal: make them happy. If a VIP wants to play bigger, you do it. If they ask you to straddle you don’t object. If they want to see your cards, show them. Your goal at the table is not only to keep them playing, but to keep them happy.

You are to provide a good service where they can brag to their friends and feel important. “I play poker in the biggest games at Bellagio because that’s where everyone plays. This one time we had everyone at the table taking shots and making crazy prop bets.” His focus isn’t: “should I have called the river with bottom pair”, but the amazing experience he had. That’s playing winning poker.

Curse Words:

Just like a historian doesn’t share every tidbit of knowledge at a dinner party, you never want to make your customers feel stupid by using a language they don’t understand.

Doing so is the poker equivalent of swearing. While you are playing, these words are not in your vocabulary.

Avoid using them at all costs: Equity, range, three bet, four bet, edge, variance, two plus two, cbet, hand histories, value bet, polarized, meta game and any talk of online poker.

It’s important to note that sharing information goes well beyond discussing hands at the poker table. It just seems to be the quintessential example and where the mistake is most often made. The problem exists everywhere: reports of lucrative games on 2p2, an amazing new poker site or a new epic fish are things that players feel compelled to share. The only result is we cost ourselves money.

Dicussing Strategy:

If I’m asked directly about a hand, of course saying something like, “I’m not telling you because I don’t want you to know how I think,” is not just unacceptable, but rude.  If it’s the fish who is directing the conversation, I never diffuse it. To the contrary, I offer my two cents and cater it to the level to which they understand. I’m not a fan of lying to them, but that doesn’t mean I have to be ruthlessly honest. Instead, I like giving light suggestions. “You can always just call and see a flop” or if I agree with their play: “I’d recommend hitting your draw next time.”

It does nobody any good to boast your intelligence with something like: “The equity of your hand against his range dictates you should call.”  Would Rafael Nadal tell a novice player that he needs to balance his serving position on second serves when he is struggling to hit the ball over the net?

And, similarly, would Rafa tell Federer that he likes when he comes to the net because that’s when he is the most exploitable? Off the court they are friends. On the court, enemies.